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          <h3 class="hdr-date-cool" width="100%">Saturday, 06 March 2010</h3>
                
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      <p class="item_subject">ISRAEL PEACE PARTNER UPDATE
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                <span class="item_body"><P>Ken Berwitz</P>
<P>Here is the latest news regarding Israel and those nice folks the world demands that it makes peace with.&nbsp; </P>
<P>I am posting&nbsp;defense expert David Eshel's article from<A href="http://www.aviationweek.com/">www.aviationweek.com</A>.&nbsp; Please pay special attention to the paragraph I've put in bold print:&nbsp;:<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P>
<BLOCKQUOTE style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px" dir=ltr>
<P><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Hamas, Hezbollah Could Push <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> To War<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Mar 4, 2010<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">By David Eshel<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Tel Aviv<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Israel</SPAN></st1:country-region><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> is always on high alert when it comes to the potential for war with its neighbors, particularly the two groups viewed as proxies of <st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region> and <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">Syria</st1:country-region></st1:place>: Hamas and Hezbollah. Though neither seems particularly eager for a full-blown conflict with Israel at present, defense analysts see a number of developments that could lead to another war with one or both, perhaps as soon as this year.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">One reason for this view is that Hamas in <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City> and Hezbollah in <st1:country-region w:st="on">Lebanon</st1:country-region> continue to be supplied with ordnance from <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Iran</st1:place></st1:country-region>. Thousands of Hezbollah rockets are poised to strike <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> again, though for almost four years the border between <st1:country-region w:st="on">Lebanon</st1:country-region> and northern <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> has been remarkably quiet. One reason may be that 11,000 soldiers from the United Nations Interim Force in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Lebanon</st1:place></st1:country-region> and 15,000 Lebanese army troops are more effective at keeping Hezbollah’s Shiite militia at bay. The tranquility may be illusory—<st1:City w:st="on">Tehran</st1:City> and <st1:City w:st="on">Damascus</st1:City> could encourage Hamas and Hezbollah to attack <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> in furtherance of their regional aims. <st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region> has also threatened retaliation if <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> attacks its nuclear program; and with popular unrest a constant threat to the leadership in <st1:City w:st="on">Tehran</st1:City>, a war with <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region>, fought through Hamas or Hezbollah, could be one way of diverting Iranian public attention away from the regime.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Other developments are raising tensions as well. In the year since the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City> incursion called Operation Cast Lead ended, Hamas has made a major effort to restore its internal security forces. The military/terrorist wing, the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, has been rebuilt to its previous strength with its military capabilities substantially expanded. The smuggling of weapons into <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City> has accelerated beyond expectations, in spite of <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region> sealing their respective borders with the area and Israeli interception of arms shipments at sea and in <st1:place w:st="on">Africa</st1:place>. Much of this weaponry originates in <st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region>, whose rulers are eager to extend their regional influence to the <st1:place w:st="on">Mediterranean</st1:place>. Restoring Hamas’s arsenal with advanced ordnance is a major part of <st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region>’s strategy of targeting <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> from <st1:country-region w:st="on">Lebanon</st1:country-region> and <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The Hamas weapons inventory has grown enormously in the past year. Yuval Diskin, head of the Shin Bet internal security agency, told the Knesset’s foreign affairs and defense committee last month that Hamas’s current capabilities are “better than they were on the eve of Operation Cast Lead.” Hamas and other Palestinian terrorist groups “will continue to grow stronger in 2010,” he added. Diskin said Hamas will continue efforts to smuggle rockets into <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City></st1:place> that have a range exceeding 50 km. (31 mi.), along with “antiaircraft missiles, antitank missiles and .&nbsp;.&nbsp;. other .&nbsp;.&nbsp;. weapons.” Last November, the head of military intelligence, Maj. Gen. Amos Yadlin, told the committee that Hamas had conducted a successful trial launch of a rocket with a 60-km. range, which could endanger the Tel Aviv metropolitan area.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Writing in the Beirut daily newspaper Al-Akhbar, Ibrahim al-Amin, who is affiliated with an Islamic militant group, warned that Hamas and other Palestinian factions have been training for a year with antiaircraft missiles and with large explosives that could blow up an armored vehicle the size of a Merkava tank—a 65-ton vehicle. According to al-Amin, the groups also practiced firing medium- and long-range missiles, as well as targeting Israeli communities “up to 100 km.” from <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>. Israeli experts believe this last claim is, however, overstated. Nevertheless, with more accurate rockets, Hamas could attack airfields in southern <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region>, which they attempted but failed to do during Operation Cast Lead. Hamas is also believed to have acquired Russian RPG-29 antitank grenade launchers and Kornet antitank missiles, which were used successfully by Hezbollah against Merkava tanks in the Second Lebanon War of 2006.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Adding to these concerns are signs that another war could be triggered by the Al Qaeda offshoots that are spreading across southern <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>. Worries about Al Qaeda are not new in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>. Shin Bet noted in its 2009 annual report that operatives from a range of groups in the global jihad movement have appeared in the region during the past year. Dozens of terrorists have joined new military factions in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City> such as the Salafist group Jaljalat (thunder in Arabic) and Jund Ansarullah. Far from welcoming them, Hamas leaders are aware of the threat these groups pose to their control, and have taken brutal measures to suppress them. Tensions climaxed last July when Hamas clashed with global jihad operatives who were using a Rafah mosque for a rally. During the battle, many global jihad commanders were killed or wounded. Nevertheless, the incident did not prevent survivors from continuing their clandestine activities, and the movement is taking hold among the masses in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">A senior White House terrorism expert warned recently that the Al Qaeda networks in <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City> could become as dangerous and menacing as the jihadist strongholds in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Yemen</st1:place></st1:country-region>. This threat may also have prompted <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region> to crack down on the <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City> border. Jihadi access to the Sinai, which <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region> controls, would not only imperil the peninsula, but might well spill into <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Egypt</st1:place></st1:country-region>, emboldening the antigovernment Muslim Brotherhood.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><STRONG>While Hamas has virtually stopped firing Qassam rockets into <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> since Operation Cast Lead, the situation along the border remains explosive. The Israeli offensive severely damaged Hamas’s military, security and administrative operations in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>. Civilian infrastructure is virtually nonexistent, and much of the housing remains in rubble. The Gaza Strip is almost entirely sealed by <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region>, and lately by <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Egypt</st1:place></st1:country-region>, which is building the deeply dug “Mubarak Wall” along the Rafah border, formerly the <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Philadelphi Route</st1:address></st1:Street>. The objective is to severely disrupt the smuggling carried out in an extensive network of tunnels under the border. The wall is formidable, composed of bomb-resistant steel that is virtually impossible to dismantle or destroy, at least by smugglers. Though it will not end tunneling, it is expected to stem most of the smuggling, which has been a key source of arms and revenue for Hamas.<o:p></o:p></STRONG></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><st1:City w:st="on"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Cairo</SPAN></st1:City><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> also plans to build a harbor along its sea border with <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>, for use by navy patrols to monitor the Egyptian side of the Rafah shore. The harbor dock would be 10 meters (33 ft.) deep and extend for 25 meters from shore. The harbor would further restrict Palestinian fishermen who are already subject to actions by the Israeli naval blockade.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Although <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> maintains a strict naval exclusion zone off <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City>, Palestinian militants recently launched a new seaborne weapon at <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region>’s beaches—floating barrels filled with explosives and attached to foam buoys, which resemble those in use by <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City> fishermen. Militant groups in <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City> have claimed responsibility for the barrel barrage, saying it was in retaliation for the murder of a Hamas leader in <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Dubai</st1:place></st1:City>. The militants accused <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> of planning the killing; <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> responded that it had no part in the murder, though recent evidence suggests otherwise.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The idea of floating bombs to shore may go back to January 2002, when a ship filled with a load of weapons for <st1:City w:st="on">Gaza</st1:City> was seized by <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> in the <st1:place w:st="on">Red Sea</st1:place>. Naval experts discovered floatable waterproof containers on board that were made in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Iran</st1:place></st1:country-region>. Equipped with mechanisms that keep them submerged at a specific depth, the containers were intended to drift underwater with the current toward shore out of sight of Israeli patrol boats. The containers were big enough to transport large weapons that could not be smuggled through the tunnels. The tactic may be continuing: Container ships from <st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region> have been sighted in the eastern <st1:place w:st="on">Mediterranean</st1:place> for months. <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> and the U.S. Navy have apprehended some, but others could have reached <st1:country-region w:st="on">Lebanon</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Syria</st1:place></st1:country-region>. Dropping the containers beyond the exclusion zone off <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Gaza</st1:place></st1:City>, they could have drifted submerged toward shore, escaping detection by Israeli radar.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">The IDF is preparing for the possibility that in a conflict with Hamas, it will be ordered to retake the <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Philadelphi Route</st1:address></st1:Street>, focusing on Rafah, the lifeline of Hamas’s arms-smuggling activities. Plans for such an operation have been worked out and will likely include long-term deployment of several units in Rafah, where troops will go house-to-house searching for tunnels and destroying them.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Such a plan was presented to then-Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s government ahead of Operation Cast Lead. At the time, the government deemed the operation too costly in terms of casualties. In a recent interview with Israel Radio, Maj. Gen. (ret.) Yom-Tov Samia, former head of the IDF’s southern command, hinted at the possibility that the army will retake the <st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on">Philadelphi Route</st1:address></st1:Street>, saying, “We must create a situation in which Hamas runs out of oxygen.”<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="mso-line-height-alt: 9.0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; COLOR: maroon; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">Many experts believe that <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> should have targeted Rafah during Operation Cast Lead instead of deploying troops to <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Gaza</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">City</st1:PlaceType></st1:place>, a move that might have kept the threat of future conflicts farther in the future.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></P></BLOCKQUOTE>
<P>Can someone please tell me how Israel is supposed to make peace under these circumstances?&nbsp; </P>
<P>Let's remember that hamas, hezbollah and Iran all are on record as intending to destroy Israel - "wipe it off the face of the map" in the words of Iran's fraudulently-elected President mahmoud ahmadinejad.&nbsp; None of them has renounced this aim.&nbsp; </P>
<P>And, as the bold-print paragraph shows, the interest is far more in securing weapons and killing Israelis than in fixing or adding to infrastructure.&nbsp; In other words, it is much more important to kill Jews than to create decent lives for their people.</P>
<P>Even their Arab brethren in Egypt can't deal with it anymore, and are building a security wall to seal in Gaza.</P>
<P>Funny, though:&nbsp; The Israeli security wall, built to prevent&nbsp;ongoing suicide bombings that had killed hundreds of Israeli civilians on buses, in hotels and in pizza shops, was attacked and condemned by the world.&nbsp; But Egypt's security wall gets virtually no media attention at all.</P>
<P>When you consider whether Israel gets a fair shake in the media, you might want to keep those two security walls in mind.</P> </span></p>
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                        <td nowrap=true><em>Hopelessly Partisan @ 08:45 AM</em></td>
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hopelesslypartisan.com, is a web site which is dedicated to honest, blunt, debate on the issues of our time.<BR><BR> 

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